[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTBW 290341
HLSTBW
FLZ052-056-057-061-062-065-290630-

TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1141 PM EDT MON AUG 28 2006

...TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO ALONG THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA AND IS
EXPECTED TO SLOWLY INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE FLORIDA STRAITS...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT
12 MPH AND A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER
TONIGHT. NO CHANGES OR ADDITIONS HAVE BEEN MADE TO THE WATCHES
AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS AND VISITORS TO SOUTHWEST AND
WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL AREAS OF LEE AND
CHARLOTTE COUNTIES.

AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NON COASTAL AND NON
TIDAL AREAS OF CHARLOTTE...LEE AND DESOTO COUNTIES...AND FOR ALL OF POLK
AND HARDEE COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST...OR ABOUT 420
MILES SOUTHEAST OF FORT MYERS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN
NEAR 40 MPH...MAINLY IN SQUALLS NEAR THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION.
A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT...WHICH
SHOULD TAKE THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION OFF THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA
INTO THE ATLANTIC.

...WINDS...
BRIEF WIND GUSTS OF 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY AS THE RAIN BANDS FROM ERNESTO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA.
COASTAL AREAS OF CHARLOTTE AND LEE COUNTIES COULD SEE SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR
INLAND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE ALONG AND GENERALLY EAST
OF U.S. 27 ON WEDNESDAY.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE...
ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK WINDS WILL BE MAINLY OFFSHORE UNTIL
THE STORM MOVES NORTH OF THE AREA WITH SOME MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING IN NORTH AND EAST EXPOSURES. AFTER THE STORM PASSES WINDS
WILL BECOME ONSHORE WHICH COULD INCREASE TIDES 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY.

...INLAND FLOODING...
TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL BE 2 TO 5 INCHES WITH THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OVER SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
REGION. MUCH WILL DEPEND ON THE ACTUAL TRACK OF ERNESTO.
HOWEVER...HEAVY BURSTS OF RAIN MAY CAUSE FLOODING OF STREETS AND
LOW LYING AREAS... ESPECIALLY IN URBAN AREAS.

...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE OUTER RAIN BANDS OF
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...BEACH EROSION...
ONSHORE WINDS WILL DEVELOP WEDNESDAY WITH HIGH SURF AND MINOR
BEACH EROSION POSSIBLE. RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BECOME A THREAT
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. THERE IS MUCH
UNCERTAINTY IN THE FUTURE COURSE AND INTENSITY OF ERNESTO. NOW IS
THE TIME TO REVIEW HURRICANE PLANS AND CONTINUE CLOSELY MONITORING
THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO. BE READY TO IMPLEMENT YOUR HURRICANE
PLANS SHOULD WARNINGS BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FOR YOUR COUNTY.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO IS A DISORGANIZED STORM AT THIS TIME AND
FUTURE FORECASTS MAY HAVE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE TIMING AND
LOCATION. CONTINUE TO MONITOR LATER FORECASTS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN RUSKIN WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 215 AM TUESDAY MORNING.

$$

PRC/EJ/BSG


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