[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KHGX 151814
HLSHGX
TXZ235>237-160015-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ERIN INTERMEDIATE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
114 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FREEPORT TO
BROWNSVILLE...

...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

BRAZORIA...JACKSON...MATAGORDA...

TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FREEPORT TO BROWNSVILLE.

INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT
THURSDAY FOR BRAZORIA...JACKSON AND MATAGORDA COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 100 PM CDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.8 WEST OR ABOUT
240 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PALACIOS. SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE
CENTER COULD BE REFORMING A LITTLE BIT TO THE NORTH...WITHIN THE
MAIN AREA OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. IF THIS IS CONFIRMED...THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING COULD BE EXTENDED NORTHEASTWARD LATER
TODAY.

ERIN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERIN IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR THE LOWER OR
MIDDLE TEXAS COAST THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL ON THURSDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. SOME RAINBANDS WITH GUSTY WINDS ARE
ALREADY APPROACHING THE TEXAS COAST.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE
MIDDLE TEXAS COAST...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND KEEP
INFORMED ON THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN. THE MAIN THREAT TO
THE
UPPER TEXAS COAST WILL BE HEAVY RAINS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE ONE TO TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT
TIME OF LANDFALL ALONG THE COAST SOUTH OF SAN LUIS PASS AND ONE
FOOT OR LESS ABOVE NORMAL NORTH OF SAN LUIS PASS. SOME MINOR
BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE.

LOCATIONHIGH TIDE TIMESEXPECTED WATER MAX

MORGANS POINT...
WED  5:30 PM.0.9 FEET.
THU  5:40 PM.0.9 FEET.
CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE...
WED  1:14 PM.0.8 FEET.
THU  1:24 PM.0.8 FEET.
EAGLE POINT...
THU 11:13 AM.0.9 FEET.
PORT BOLIVAR...
WED  6:35 PM.1.2 FEET.
THU  7:33 AM.1.2 FEET.
THU  7:49 PM.1.2 FEET.
GALVESTON CHANNEL...
WED  6:21 PM.1.2 FEET.
THU  7:19 AM.1.4 FEET.
THU  7:35 PM.1.8 FEET.
GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER...
WED  5:15 PM.1.8 FEET.
THU  6:13 AM.2.4 FEET.
THU  6:29 PM.2.8 FEET.
JAMAICA BEACH...
WED  8:59 PM.0.9 FEET.
THU  9:57 AM.1.5 FEET.
THU  10:13 PM.1.9 FEET.
SAN LUIS PASS...
WED  6:12 PM.1.0 FEET.
THU  7:10 AM.1.7 FEET.
THU  7:26 PM.2.1 FEET.
FREEPORT...
WED  5:37 PM.1.6 FEET.
THU  6:35 AM.1.6 FEET.
THU  6:51 PM.2.9 FEET.
PORT O CONNOR...
WED  7:03 PM.0.5 FEET.
THU 10:04 AM.1.8 FEET.
THU  8:46 PM.2.9 FEET.

NOTE:  TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER

...WINDS...
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH THIS EVENING
WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN STRONGER SQUALLS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DECREASE THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

...RAINFALL...
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND
8 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BRAZOS RIVER.
NORTH OF THE RIVER...RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF AROUND 5 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS EVENING.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 500 PM CDT.

FOR MORE TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION...SEE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV OR THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HGX.

$$




WWWW
This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net