[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KHGX 160403
HLSHGX
TXZ235>237-161015-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ERIN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1103 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

...TROPICAL STORM ERIN MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARD THE MIDDLE TEXAS
COAST WITH A LANDFALL IN THE CORPUS CHRISTI AREA EXPECTED THURSDAY
MORNING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
DECREASED WIND SPEED FORECAST.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

BRAZORIA...JACKSON...MATAGORDA...

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SAN LUIS PASS
TO BROWNSVILLE.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6PM ON THURSDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST OR ABOUT 150
MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PALACIOS.

ERIN IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14
MPH...22 KM/HR... AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. THE CENTER OF ERIN IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY NEAR THE
TEXAS COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA TOMORROW MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8
INCHES POSSIBLE.

STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS MAY BE
EXPERIENCED IN A FEW COASTAL LOCATIONS TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE
CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST ON
THURSDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND KEEP
INFORMED ON THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN. THE MAIN THREAT TO
THE UPPER TEXAS COAST WILL BE HEAVY RAINS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED AT THE TIME OF LANDFALL THURSDAY MORNING TO
AVERAGE 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST SOUTH OF SAN LUIS
PASS AND 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL NORTH OF SAN LUIS PASS. SOME MINOR
BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE.

LOCATION      HIGH TIDE TIMES     EXPECTED WATER MAX

MORGANS POINT...
              THU  5:40 PM.       2.4 FEET.
CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE...
              THU  1:24 PM.       2.8 FEET.
EAGLE POINT...
              THU 11:13 AM.       2.9 FEET.
PORT BOLIVAR...
              THU  7:33 AM.       3.2 FEET.
              THU  7:49 PM.       2.7 FEET.
GALVESTON CHANNEL...
              THU  7:19 AM.       3.2 FEET.
              THU  7:35 PM.       2.7 FEET.
GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER...
              THU  6:13 AM.       3.8 FEET.
              THU  6:29 PM.       3.2 FEET.
JAMAICA BEACH...
              THU  9:57 AM.       3.4 FEET.
              THU 10:13 PM.       2.3 FEET.
SAN LUIS PASS...
              THU  7:10 AM.       3.0 FEET.
              THU  7:26 PM.       2.5 FEET.
FREEPORT...
              THU  6:35 AM.       4.1 FEET.
              THU  6:51 PM.       3.5 FEET.
PORT O CONNOR...
              THU 10:04 AM.       2.8 FEET.
              THU  8:46 PM.       2.4 FEET.

NOTE:  TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER

...WINDS...
IN THE VICINITY OF MATAGORDA BAY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25
WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE IN STRONGER SQUALLS. ELSEWHERE WINDS
WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 20 MPH EXCEPT HIGHER IN THUNDERSTORMS.

...RAINFALL...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6PM ON THURSDAY. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES CAN
BE EXPECTED.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 200 AM CDT.

FOR MORE TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION...SEE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV OR THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HGX.

$$



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