[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KBRO 160409
HLSBRO
TXZ251-256-257-161000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1109 PM CDT WED AUG 15 2007

...ERIN APPROACHES THE TEXAS COAST WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO
GRANDE TO BAFFIN BAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS FOR RESIDENTS ACROSS DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS AND THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE INCLUDING KENEDY...WILLACY...AND
CAMERON COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE
TO BAFFIN BAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1000 PM CDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.7 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS AND ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF GALVESTON TEXAS.

ERIN IS MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14
MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THE CENTER OF ERIN IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY NEAR THE TEXAS
COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA THURSDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. A
LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL.
RESIDENTS LIVING IN FLOOD-PRONE AREAS NEED TO BE PREPARED FOR THE
POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING. ALSO...WITH ABOVE NORMAL TIDES EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE...PERSONS WHO MIGHT BE CAMPED OR OTHERWISE ON THE BEACHES
SHOULD EVACUATE. RESIDENTS SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THE ADVICE
OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND OTHER GOVERNMENT OFFCICIALS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED WITH TROPICAL
STORM ERIN...TIDES ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE WILL CONTINUE
ABOVE PREDICTED. OBSERVED TIDES AT PORT ISABEL ARE NOW TRENDING
ABOUT ONE HALF OF A FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED VALUES. AT TIDES ABOUT ONE
FOOT ABOVE HIGH TIDE...OR AT ABOUT TWO FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL...MINOR FLOODING OCCURS ON GULF BEACHES. AT TIDES ABOUT THREE
FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...GULF BEACHES ARE AWASH TO THE DUNES AND
HIGHWAY 4 MAY FLOOD...ISOLATING BOCA CHICA AND BRAZOS ISLAND. THE
NEXT HIGH TIDES AT PORT ISABEL WILL OCCUR AT 614 AM CDT AND 611 PM
CDT.

...INLAND FLOODING...
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OCCUR ACROSS PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING AS TROPICAL STORM ERIN APPROACHES. ON AVERAGE 3 TO 5
INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 IN KENEDY
COUNTY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 6 TO 8 INCHES POSSIBLE. FURTHER
INLAND RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

...WINDS...
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH AND SOME STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST BEFORE ERIN MAKES LANDFALL THURSDAY. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS UP TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 55 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE NEAR AND JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER AT THE TIME OF
LANDFALL ON THURSDAY.

...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS...
THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE AS HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES
DEVELOP ALONG LOCAL BEACHES. HEAVY SURF AND SWELL WILL CREATE
DANGEROUS BEACH CONDITIONS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT STATEMENT REGARDING TROPICAL STORM ERIN WILL BE ISSUED
AROUND 5 AM CDT.

$$
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