[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KHGX 160930
HLSHGX
TXZ235>237-161530-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM ERIN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
430 AM CDT THU AUG 16 2007

...TROPICAL STORM ERIN MOVING NORTHWEST TOWARD THE MIDDLE TEXAS
COAST WITH A LANDFALL IN THE PORT ARANSAS AREA EXPECTED THIS
MORNING...

...NEW INFORMATION...
TROPICAL STORM ERIN IS REFORMING TO THE NORTHWEST AS IT MOVES
WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12MPH.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

BRAZORIA...JACKSON...MATAGORDA...

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SAN LUIS PASS TO PORT
MANSFIELD. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO
BROWNSVILLE HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7PM TODAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE
SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST FROM PORT MANSFIELD SOUTHWARD TO BROWNSVILLE
HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE TEXAS COAST FROM SAN LUIS PASS SOUTHWARD TO PORT MANSFIELD.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.7 WEST OR ABOUT
64 MILES... 103 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PALACIOS TEXAS BASED ON RADAR
ESTIMATES.

ERIN HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 12
MPH...19 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERIN IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE INLAND WITHIN THE WARNING AREA LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  A LITTLE STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE PRIOR TO ERIN MAKING
LANDFALL.  ONCE INLAND...ERIN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER. A NOAA BUOY NORTH OF THE CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED A
WIND GUST TO 45 MPH.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.

TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH
OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN TEXAS...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.

STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS MAY BE
EXPERIENCED IN A FEW COASTAL LOCATIONS TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE
CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE MIDDLE TEXAS GULF COAST ON
THURSDAY.

...PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
PERSONS ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST SHOULD REMAIN ALERT AND KEEP
INFORMED ON THE PROGRESS OF TROPICAL STORM ERIN. THE MAIN THREAT TO
THE UPPER TEXAS COAST WILL BE HEAVY RAINS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
TIDES ARE EXPECTED AT THE TIME OF LANDFALL THURSDAY MORNING TO
AVERAGE 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE COAST SOUTH OF SAN LUIS
PASS AND 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL NORTH OF SAN LUIS PASS. SOME MINOR
BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE.

LOCATION      HIGH TIDE TIMES     EXPECTED WATER MAX

MORGANS POINT...
              THU  5:40 PM.       2.4 FEET.
CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE...
              THU  1:24 PM.       2.8 FEET.
EAGLE POINT...
              THU 11:13 AM.       2.9 FEET.
PORT BOLIVAR...
              THU  7:33 AM.       3.2 FEET.
              THU  7:49 PM.       2.7 FEET.
GALVESTON CHANNEL...
              THU  7:19 AM.       3.2 FEET.
              THU  7:35 PM.       2.7 FEET.
GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER...
              THU  6:13 AM.       3.8 FEET.
              THU  6:29 PM.       3.2 FEET.
JAMAICA BEACH...
              THU  9:57 AM.       3.4 FEET.
              THU 10:13 PM.       2.3 FEET.
SAN LUIS PASS...
              THU  7:10 AM.       3.0 FEET.
              THU  7:26 PM.       2.5 FEET.
FREEPORT...
              THU  6:35 AM.       4.1 FEET.
              THU  6:51 PM.       3.5 FEET.
PORT O CONNOR...
              THU 10:04 AM.       2.8 FEET.
              THU  8:46 PM.       2.4 FEET.

NOTE:  TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER

...WINDS...
IN THE VICINITY OF MATAGORDA BAY WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE IN STRONGER SQUALLS.
ELSEWHERE WINDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 20 MPH EXCEPT HIGHER IN
THUNDERSTORMS.

...RAINFALL...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7PM ON THURSDAY. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 8 INCHES CAN
BE EXPECTED.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 730 AM CDT.

FOR MORE TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION...SEE THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV OR THE HOUSTON/GALVESTON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB PAGE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/HGX.

$$



This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net