[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 172213
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-180115-

BULLETIN-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
613 PM AST FRI AUG 17 2007

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE DEAN RACING WESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN
SEA...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...
LOCAL EMERGENCY OFFICIALS REPORT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS HAVE
DOWNED MULTIPLE ELECTRICAL POLES AND TREES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
PUERTO RICO.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. AND SPANISH
VIRGIN ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND THE
MONA PASSAGE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE
LOCAL ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 500 PM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.5 WEST...OR ABOUT 190 MILES SOUTH
OF ST CROIX...230 MILES SOUTH OF ST THOMAS...260 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
SAN JUAN...AND 250 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PONCE. DEAN WAS MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST NEAR 21 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD MOMENTUM.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 125 MPH...WITH OCCASIONALLY
HIGHER GUSTS. DEAN IS A MAJOR CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WILL CONTINUE TO PASS SOUTH OF ST CROIX
THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND THEN SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. LOCAL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS
CLOSELY...AS ANY DEVIATION TO THE NORTH OR A CONTINUED INCREASE IN
INTENSITY...WILL RESULT IN STRONGER WINDS AND INCREASED RAINFALL
ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND PASSAGES...WITH VERY HIGH SURF ALONG
THE CARIBBEAN COASTLINES. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS
THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND ARE URGED TO NOT VENTURE FAR FROM PORT INTO
THE ATLANTIC WATERS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED...WITH
THE CONFIRMATION OF DOWNED POWER LINES AND TREES ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
PUERTO RICO. ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO DOWN MORE POWER LINES AND TREES ACROSS SOUTHERN PUERTO
RICO AND POSSIBLY ST CROIX THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES MILES FROM
THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE 39 TO 45 MPH...34 TO
40 KNOT RANGE...ARE ALREADY AFFECTING THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND THE
ISLAND OF ST CROIX...AND WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD RAPIDLY WESTWARD TO
THE CARIBBEAN WATERS SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO THROUGHOUT THE REST OF
EVENING.

FOR THE LAND AREAS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE REMAIN POSSIBLE...
ESPECIALLY WITH PASSING SQUALLS...AND ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD SLOWLY START TO DIMINISH BY EARLY
SATURDAY ACROSS ST CROIX AND ITS SURROUNDING WATERS...THEN BY MIDDAY
SATURDAY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE REMAINING CARIBBEAN COASTAL
WATERS.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD RAPIDLY ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS THIS
EVENING...EVENTUALLY REACHING 14 TO 18 FEET ACROSS THE LOCAL
CARIBBEAN WATERS AND UP TO 10 FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL
WATERS. DUE TO THESE DANGEROUS MARINE CONDITIONS...SMALL CRAFTS
SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY.
IN ADDITION...ISOLATED WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ALONG
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH SQUALLS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
FLASH FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. OUTER RAINBANDS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
DEAN WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE U.S. AND SPANISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
THIS EVENING...AND LATER SPREAD ACROSS PUERTO RICO OVERNIGHT.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
OF UP TO FIVE INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED WITH DEAN...WAVE
RUN-UP ALONG THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS SHOULD
RESULT IN TIDES OF ONE TO TWO FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED. THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE AT ST CROIX WILL OCCUR AT 813 PM AST AND THE NEXT HIGH TIDE FOR
PLAYA DE PONCE WILL OCCUR AT 715 PM AST.

...HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING...
HIGH WAVES CREATED FROM THE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS MOVING
THROUGH THE AREA HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO AFFECT THE LOCAL COAST
LINES...WITH WAVES OF 6 TO 8 FEET ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH COASTS.
EXPECT INCREASINGLY LARGE HURRICANE SWELLS TO INVADE THE AREA WATERS
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...RESULTING IN BREAKING WAVES OF 10 TO 18
FEET ALONG THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN REEFS AND COASTLINES OVERNIGHT. THESE
LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE VERY STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP
CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE. PERSONS ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH
EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF THIS DANGEROUS SURF.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 915 PM AST THIS
EVENING BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN
PUERTO RICO.

$$

RAM/BCS/SR




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