[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTCA82 TJSJ 180711
HLSSJU
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-181015-

BULLETIN-
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
300 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2007

...CORE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FOUR DEAN CONTINUES TO
INTENSIFY WHILE PASSING SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...

...NEW INFORMATION...
HURRICANE DEAN NOW HAS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 150 MPH...AND A
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 930 MB.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...THE CARIBBEAN COASTAL WATERS AND THE MONA
PASSAGE. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE LOCAL
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 200 AM AST...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.7 WEST...OR ABOUT 220 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF ST CROIX...255 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF ST THOMAS...240
MILES SOUTH OF SAN JUAN...AND 200 MILES SOUTH OF PONCE. DEAN WAS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 150 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS OR LESS.

THE CORE OF HURRICANE DEAN WILL CONTINUE MOVING WELL SOUTH OF PUERTO
RICO DURING THE REST TONIGHT. LOCAL INTERESTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE STORM SINCE THE FORECAST TRACK IS
EXPECTED TO TAKE THE CENTER ON A MORE WEST NORTHWEST TRACK AND THIS
WILL HAVE THE EFFECT OF BRINGING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS
ACROSS THE WEST HALF OF PUERTO RICO AND THE RAINBANDS ALONG THE
OUTER NORTHEAST PART OF THE STORM ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA.

THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT MARINE INTERESTS ACROSS
THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND PASSAGES...WITH VERY HIGH SURF ALONG
THE CARIBBEAN COASTLINES. THE PUERTO RICO EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
REPORTED LOCALIZED COASTAL FLOODING EARLIER ALONG THE YABUCOA AND
SALINAS TO SANTA ISABEL COAST. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT
ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS AND ARE URGED TO NOT VENTURE FAR FROM
PORT INTO THE ATLANTIC WATERS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 57 MPH WERE RECORDED BY THE
NOAA CREW STATION IN SALT RIVER BAY ON SAINT CROIX AT 2 AM THIS
MORNING. ADDITIONAL TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO DOWN MORE POWER LINES AND TREES ACROSS
SOUTHERN...INTERIOR AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND SAINT
CROIX DURING THE REST OF TONIGHT.

...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205 MILES MILES FROM
THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE 39
TO 50 MPH...34 TO 45 KNOT RANGE WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE AFFECTING THE CARIBBEAN WATERS OF PUERTO RICO AND NEAR
SAINT CROIX DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD RAPIDLY WESTWARD ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN WATERS
SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO AND SOUTHER MONA PASSAGE THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING.

FOR THE LAND AREAS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...
OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE STRENGTH REMAIN
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER INLAND SAINT CROIX AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF PUERTO RICO AND ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD SLOWLY DIMINISH AROUND SUNRISE
ACROSS SAINT CROIX AND ITS SURROUNDING WATERS...THEN BY MIDDAY
SATURDAY ACROSS PUERTO RICO AND THE REMAINING CARIBBEAN COASTAL
WATERS.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD RAPIDLY ACROSS THE LOCAL WATERS AND
REACH 14 TO 19 FEET ACROSS THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN WATERS AND UP TO 10
FEET ACROSS THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. DUE TO THESE DANGEROUS
MARINE CONDITIONS...SMALL CRAFTS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT ACROSS THE
CARIBBEAN WATERS THROUGH SATURDAY. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED
WATERSPOUTS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY ALONG THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN
WATERS IN ASSOCIATION WITH SQUALLS.

...INLAND FLOODING...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
EXTREME OUTER AND NORTHERN BANDS OF DEAN ARE CURRENTLY AFFECTING THE
NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST PART OF PUERTO RICO. THE MORE SOLID
RAINBANDS STILL REMAIN CONFINED TO THE CARIBBEAN WATERS JUST
SOUTHWEST OF SAINT CROIX AND AND SOUTH OF PUERTO RICO. AS THE STORM
PROGRESSES ALONG ITS FORECAST TRACK WE WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS INLAND WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODS MAINLY DURING THE DAY
SATURDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE REMAINDER OF TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF UP TO FIVE INCHES POSSIBLE
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED WITH DEAN...WAVE
RUN-UP ALONG THE SOUTH AND EAST COASTS OF THE LOCAL ISLANDS SHOULD
RESULT IN TIDES OF ONE TO TWO FOOT ABOVE PREDICTED. THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE AT ST CROIX WILL OCCUR AT 702 PM AST SATURDAY AND THE NEXT HIGH
TIDE FOR PLAYA DE PONCE WILL OCCUR AT 600 PM AST SATURDAY.

...HIGH SURF AND COASTAL FLOODING...
HIGH WAVES CREATED FROM THE ON SHORE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO AFFECT THE LOCAL COAST
LINES...WITH WAVES OF 8 TO 12 FEET ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH COASTS.
EXPECT INCREASINGLY LARGE HURRICANE SWELLS TO INVADE THE AREA WATERS
THROUGH THE REST OF TONIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING...RESULTING IN
BREAKING WAVES UP TO 19 FEET ALONG THE LOCAL CARIBBEAN REEFS AND
COASTLINES OVERNIGHT. THESE LARGE BREAKING WAVES WILL GENERATE VERY
STRONG AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WITHIN THE SURF ZONE. PERSONS
ALONG THE EAST AND SOUTH EXPOSED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF
THIS DANGEROUS SURF.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 615 AM AST
SATURDAY MORNING BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

$$

RM












This weather bulletin was brought to you by:
www.nashvilleweather.net