[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 211837
HLSTAE
FLZ008-012-014-015-GMZ750-770-212230-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1435 PM EDT FRI SEP 21 2007

...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN BECOMES TROPICAL DEPRESSION...

...NEW INFORMATION...
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION HAS
ACQUIRED ENOUGH TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS TO BE CONSIDERED A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...INCLUDING NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

... A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT
SATURDAY FOR JEFFERSON AND WAKULLA COUNTIES...

...FLOOD WATCH IS ISSUED FOR WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND...

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1 PM CDT...2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.9 WEST OR ABOUT 50
MILES... 85 KM...SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA. THE DEPRESSION
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 11 MPH...AND THE MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1006 MB...29.71
INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TOMORROW. PERSONS IN OR NEAR THE WARNED AREA SHOULD STAY TUNED TO
NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR NEWS MEDIA FOR FURTHER UPDATES.


...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
AT 1 PM EDT...2 PM CDT...TIDES WERE ON THE DECLINE. THE TIDE GAGE AT
APALACHICOLA WAS REPORTING 1 FOOT ABOVE NORMAL...RESULTING IN A
TOTAL STORM TIDE OF APPROXIMATELY 3 FEET. AT PANAMA CITY
BEACH...TIDES WERE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. AS THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION MOVES TO THE WEST NORTHWEST AND WINDS BECOME MORE
ONSHORE...TIDES OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WILL BE LIKELY FROM
APALACHICOLA EASTWARD RESULTING IN A TOTAL STORM TIDE OF 4 FEET
DURING THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS TONIGHT. FROM CAPE SAN BLAS
TO PORT ST JOE TO PANAMA CITY TO SANDESTIN...TIDES SHOULD RUN 1 TO 2
FEET ABOVE NORMAL WITH TOTAL STORM TIDES OF UP TO 4 FEET POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT. BEACH EROSION WILL OCCUR ALONG VULNERABLE BEACHES
ESPECIALLY AT ALLIGATOR POINT...DOG ISLAND AND CAPE SAN BLAS. THE
ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WEAKENING BY LATE TOMORROW
MORNING AS THE SYSTEM MOVES INLAND AND OFF TO THE WEST.

STORM TIDES ARE THE COMBINATION OF STORM SURGE AND THE
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. SELECTED TIMES OF HIGH AND LOW TIDE FOR THE
EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND FLORIDA BIG BEND ARE...

SAINT MARKS RIVER ENTRANCE...
TODAY... LOW... 05:31 PM.
TONIGHT... HIGH... 12:21 AM.

APALACHICOLA...
TODAY... HIGH... 10:00 AM...LOW... 07:34 PM.
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW... HIGH... 03:19 AM... LOW 07:17 AM.

SAINT ANDREWS BAY AT PANAMA CITY...
TODAY... LOW... 04:48 PM.
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW: 06:35 AM.

...WINDS...
AT 1 PM CDT...2 PM EDT...WINDS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS FROM
APALACHICOLA TO SANDESTIN WERE MAINLY OUT OF THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST
AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 25 AND 30 MPH WEST OF PANAMA
CITY...AND SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30
MPH EAST OF PANAMA CITY. EAST OF APALACHICOLA...WINDS WERE COMING
AROUND TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30
MPH. AS THE CENTER MOVES TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST...WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY COME AROUND COMPLETELY TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE COASTAL SECTIONS OF THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. INLAND WINDS ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE WERE
MAINLY OUT OF THE EAST AND NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME GUSTS
TO 20 MPH.


...INLAND FLOODING...
SOME MUCH NEEDED RAIN WILL COME OUT OF THIS STORM.  ACCUMULATIONS
OVERNIGHT HAVE MOSTLY RANGED ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OVER THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND...EXCEPT FOR AN AREA OF 3 TO 4 INCHES IN TAYLOR COUNTY. AS
THIS SYSTEM MOVES WEST...IT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE WIDESPREAD
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ACROSS THE EASTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE AND WESTERN BIG BEND...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE COAST.
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.  WITH THE CONTINUED
RAINFALL EXPECTED OVER THE AREA FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS...GROUND
CONDITIONS WILL GET WETTER.  AS THE STORM DEVELOPS...THE POSSIBILITY
FOR LOCALIZED URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS SUCH AS
PANAMA CITY ALONG THE COAST WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT. FLOODING CAN
BE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT...AND MANY TROPICAL STORM RELATED
DEATHS HAVE OCCURRED WHEN MOTORISTS TRIED TO CROSS STANDING WATER.

...TORNADOES...
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER SOUTHWESTERN
GEORGIA...THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND
SOUTHEASTERN ALABAMA THROUGH TONIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL NE PROVIDED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE BY 5 PM CDT...6 PM EDT.

$$

WATSON/GOREE






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