[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement
EMWIN Server
emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Jul 21 22:46:18 CDT 2008
WTUS84 KBRO 220345
HLSBRO
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1045 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
...HURRICANE WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR THE COAST OF DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS...
.AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.8 WEST OR ABOUT
320 MILES...515 KM...EAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT
435 MILES...695 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR. A TURN
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE
WESTERN COAST OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE PRIOR TO
LANDFALL.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...
325 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
8 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4-6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.
GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-221000-
/O.UPG.KBRO.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.HU.W.0001.080722T0345Z-000000T0000Z/
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
1045 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS UPGRADED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO
A HURRICANE WARNING FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO PORT
O'CONNOR TEXAS.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FROM BROWNSVILLE TO PORT O'CONNOR
TEXAS.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MARINERS SHOULD BE COMPLETING THEIR FINAL PREPARATIONS FOR THE
APPROACH OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE TROPICAL STORM IS FORECAST
TO INTENSIFY INTO A MINIMAL HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ALL MARINERS ARE HIGHLY URGED TO REMAIN IN PORT.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY.
HOWEVER...SURGE COULD BE HIGHER OR LOWER DEPENDING ON THE ULTIMATE
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF DOLLY.
...WINDS...
CURRENT FORECAST CONTINUES TO BRING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
INTO THE COASTAL WATERS DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY NIGHT.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 70
PERCENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE COASTAL WATERS REGION AND ALONG THE
COAST. THE PROBABILITY FOR HURRICANE FORCE WINDS REMAIN 10 TO 20
PERCENT AREAWIDE.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IF THE
CENTER REMAINS SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 430 AM CDT.
$$
TXZ251-256-257-221000-
/O.UPG.KBRO.HU.A.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.HU.W.0001.080722T0345Z-000000T0000Z/
KENEDY-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
1045 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
...HURRICANE WARNING IN EFFECT...
...NEW INFORMATION...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS UPGRADED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO
A HURRICANE WARNING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING
POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY.
HOWEVER...SURGE COULD BE HIGHER OR LOWER DEPENDING ON THE ULTIMATE
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF DOLLY.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS IN EXCESS OF 70
PERCENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...WHILE THE PROBABILITY FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 10 TO 20 PERCENT FOR AREAS ALONG THE
COAST.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED WATERSPOUT ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE STORM MAKES
LANDFALL WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IF THE CENTER OF DOLLY MAKES
LANDFALL SOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 430 AM CDT TUESDAY.
$$
TXZ253>255-221000-
/O.UPG.KBRO.HI.A.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.HI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-INLAND CAMERON-
1045 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
THE HURRICANE WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING.
WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE CAN BE EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON
TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE STARTING TUESDAY
NIGHT.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING
POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.
...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...TIDES WILL SLOWLY RISE AND COULD REACH
1.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. CURRENT DATA SUGGESTS A STORM SURGE IN AND AROUND THE
LAGUNA MADRE OF UP TO 2.5 FEET AT TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY.
HOWEVER...SURGE COULD BE HIGHER OR LOWER DEPENDING ON THE ULTIMATE
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF DOLLY.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IS 60 TO 70
PERCENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...WHILE THE PROBABILITY FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS 10 TO 20 PERCENT.
...INLAND FLOODING...
DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
MAY MOVE INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MORE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO START TUESDAY NIGHT
CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS MAY PRODUCE
NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. HOWEVER...THE FINAL
TRACK AND SPEED OF DOLLY MAY GREATLY AFFECT FINAL RAINFALL TOTALS
AND LOCATIONS OF SIGNIFICANT INLAND FLOODING.
A TRACK FARTHER NORTH TOWARD KINGSVILLE AND CORPUS CHRISTI MAY
REDUCE OVERALL STORM RAINFALL TOTALS WHILE A TRACK ACROSS EXTREME
NORTHEAST MEXICO MAY INCREASE STORM RAINFALL TOTALS.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THIS THREAT WILL
INCREASE IF THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE
CURRENT FORECAST.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATED IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 430 AM CDT.
$$
TXZ250-221000-
/O.UPG.KBRO.TI.A.0001.080723T0600Z-080724T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.HI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
BROOKS-
1045 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
...HURRICANE WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM CDT
THURSDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE WARNING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING
POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.
...INLAND FLOODING...
DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
MAY MOVE INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MORE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO START TUESDAY NIGHT
CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS MAY PRODUCE
NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. HOWEVER...THE FINAL
TRACK AND SPEED OF DOLLY MAY GREATLY AFFECT FINAL RAINFALL TOTALS
AND LOCATIONS OF SIGNIFICANT INLAND FLOODING.
A TRACK FARTHER NORTH TOWARD KINGSVILLE AND CORPUS CHRISTI MAY
REDUCE OVERALL STORM RAINFALL TOTALS WHILE A TRACK ACROSS EXTREME
NORTHEAST MEXICO MAY INCREASE STORM RAINFALL TOTALS.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DURING THE DAY
TUESDAY...WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE 50 TO 60
PERCENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...WHILE THE PROBABILITY FOR
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS IS AROUND 10 PERCENT.
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THIS THREAT WILL
INCREASE IF THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE
CURRENT FORECAST.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATED IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 430 AM CDT.
$$
TXZ248-249-252-221000-
/O.UPG.KBRO.TI.A.0001.080723T0600Z-080724T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KBRO.TI.W.0001.080723T0000Z-080724T1200Z/
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-STARR-
1045 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO
7 AM CDT THURSDAY...
...NEW INFORMATION...
THE INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO AN INLAND
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN...
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.
...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD BE CONTINUING THEIR FINAL
PREPARATIONS FOR THE LANDFALL OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THE STORM
IS EXPECTED TO REACH DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD BE BOARDING UP AND
NOT TAPING WINDOWS AND CHECKING THEIR HURRICANE PREPAREDNESS
KITS TO HAVE ADEQUATE SUPPLIES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL
BRING POWER OUTAGES AREAWIDE AS IT PASSES.
...INLAND FLOODING...
DRY WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TONIGHT. SOME OF THE OUTER RAIN BANDS
MAY MOVE INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS BY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. MORE
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO START TUESDAY NIGHT
CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS MAY PRODUCE
NUISANCE FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. HOWEVER...THE FINAL
TRACK AND SPEED OF DOLLY MAY GREATLY AFFECT FINAL RAINFALL TOTALS
AND LOCATIONS OF SIGNIFICANT INLAND FLOODING.
A TRACK FARTHER NORTH TOWARD KINGSVILLE AND CORPUS CHRISTI MAY
REDUCE OVERALL STORM RAINFALL TOTALS WHILE A TRACK ACROSS EXTREME
NORTHEAST MEXICO MAY INCREASE STORM RAINFALL TOTALS.
...WINDS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY NIGHT AND
LAST INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
THE PROBABILITY FOR TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE 40 TO 60 PERCENT
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA
...TORNADOES...
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE BEGINNING TUESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE
OUTER RAIN BANDS OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY. THIS THREAT WILL
INCREASE IF THE STORM MAKES LANDFALL FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE
CURRENT FORECAST.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATED IS SCHEDULED TO BE ISSUED AROUND 430 AM CDT.
$$
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