[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 22 17:07:23 CDT 2008


WTUS84 KHGX 222206
HLSHGX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DOLLY LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
506 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...DOLLY UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE...

.AT 400 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS OR ABOUT 265 MILES SOUTH OF
PALACIOS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CORE OF DOLLY NEAR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OR
EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS.  DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE
LANDFALL.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
160 MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO REACH
THE COASTS OF NORTHEAST MEXICO AND SOUTH TEXAS LATER TONIGHT.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
WAS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER MUCH OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ACROSS
SOUTH TEXAS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES
LANDFALL.

A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER AND
MIDDLE TEXAS COASTS.

GMZ330-350-370-232215-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
MATAGORDA BAY-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM-
506 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

DOLLY UPGRADED TO A HURRICANE.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP
CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT AND MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION.
ALTHOUGH TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT
OUR LOCAL BAY AND GULF WATERS DUE TO CURRENT TRACK FORECAST OF
DOLLY...BE AWARE THAT IF DOLLY TAKES A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN THERE WILL BE A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF
EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

EASTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND BECOME
SOUTHEASTERLY WEDNESDAY. AS THE EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE IN
STRENGTH...TIDES LEVELS WILL RISE SLOWLY. TIDE LEVELS MAY
APPROACH 4 TO 4.5 FEET BY HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE TIDE
LEVELS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF DOLLY SO PLEASE
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY FOR ANY CHANGES TO INTENSITY OR
DIRECTION.

EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.

FREEPORT...
              TUE  6:35 PM.       3.6 FEET.
              WED  7:44 AM.       4.0 TO 4.5 FEET.
              WED  8:30 PM.       3.5 FEET.

PORT O CONNOR...
              TUE  6:07 PM.       2.5 FEET.
              WED 10:13 AM.       4.5 FEET.
              WED  9:48 PM.       3.1 FEET.

NOTE:  TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER

...WINDS...

OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IF THE STORM GROWS MUCH LARGER OR VEERS NORTH FROM ITS
CURRENT TRACK. LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WINDS SHOULD STRENGTHEN TO
20 TO 30 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 40 KNOTS AND SEAS WILL BUILD TO 13
TO 16 FEET OFFSHORE AND 7 TO 10 FEET NEARSHORE THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ235>237-232215-
/O.CON.KHGX.TR.W.1004.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
BRAZORIA-JACKSON-MATAGORDA-
506 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT...

...NEW INFORMATION...

THIS HURRICANE INFORMATION STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED TO UPDATE
THE LATEST POSITION OF HURRICANE DOLLY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

BRAZORIA...JACKSON...MATAGORDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

RESIDENTS SHOULD MOVE UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS
AND DECK FURNITURE...INDOORS OR SECURE THEM. ALTHOUGH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL AREA DUE
TO CURRENT FORECAST TRACK OF DOLLY...BE AWARE THAT IF DOLLY TAKES
A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN THERE WILL BE
A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.
PERSONS NEAR THE BEACH SHOULD PROTECT THEIR BOATS AND DOCKS IN
ANTICIPATION OF THE HIGHER TIDE LEVELS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

EAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING AND THEN BECOME
SOUTHEASTERLY WEDNESDAY. AS THE EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE IN
STRENGTH...TIDES LEVELS WILL RISE SLOWLY. TIDE LEVELS MAY
APPROACH 4 TO 5 FEET BY HIGH TIDE ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. TIDE
LEVELS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE TRACK OF DOLLY SO PLEASE
MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY FOR ANY CHANGES TO INTENSITY OR
DIRECTION.

AS LARGE SWELLS MOVE INTO THE REGION EXPECT WIDESPREAD BEACH
FLOODING EROSION OF DUNES.

IN ADDITION WITH THE ELEVATED TIDE LEVELS AND LARGE SWELLS WILL
COME A MODERATE RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS AND HIGHER SURF
CONDITIONS. SWIMMING FROM THE BEACHES IN THE GULF FACING WATERS
SHOULD BE AVOIDED. PLEASE DO NOT ENDANGER YOURSELF OR OTHERS THAT
MAY NEED TO RESCUE YOU SHOULD YOU FLOUNDER.

EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.

SAN LUIS PASS...
              TUE  7:10 PM.       2.8 FEET.
              WED  8:19 AM.       4.5 FEET.
              WED  9:05 PM.       3.3 FEET.
FREEPORT...
              TUE  6:35 PM.       3.6 FEET.
              WED  7:44 AM.       4.5 FEET.
              WED  8:30 PM.       3.5 FEET.
PORT O CONNOR...
              TUE  6:07 PM.       2.9 FEET.
              WED 10:13 AM.       4.5 TO 5 FEET.
              WED  9:48 PM.       3.1 FEET.

...WINDS...

AS THE STORM APPROACHES...EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 15 TO
25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS INLAND AND AROUND 25 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS ALONG THE COAST AND BARRIER ISLANDS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ238-232215-
/O.CON.KHGX.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
GALVESTON-
506 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS STILL IN EFFECT FOR GALVESTON
COUNTY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

GALVESTON.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR
THIS AREA:

COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SHOULD THE STRONGER WINDS REACH INTO THE AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD
TAKE CARE OF UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK
FURNITURE BY MOVING THEM INDOORS OR SECURING THEM. ALTHOUGH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL
AREA COASTAL AND INLAND REGIONS DUE TO THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK
OF DOLLY...BE AWARE THAT IF DOLLY TAKES A MORE NORTHERLY TRACK
OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN THERE WILL BE A HIGHER PROBABILITY OF
EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...STORM SURGE AND STORM TIDE...

NORTHEAST WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING THEN BECOME EASTERLY
THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN SOUTHEASTERLY WEDNESDAY. AS THE EASTERLY
WINDS INCREASE IN STRENGTH THIS AFTERNOON TIDES LEVELS WILL RISE
SLOWLY. TIDE LEVELS MAY APPROACH 3 TO 4.5 FEET BY HIGH TIDE ON
WEDNESDAY MORNING. TIDE LEVELS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE
TRACK OF DOLLY SO PLEASE MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY FOR ANY
CHANGES TO INTENSITY OR DIRECTION.

AS LARGE SWELLS MOVE INTO THE REGION EXPECT WIDESPREAD BEACH
FLOODING EROSION OF DUNES ALONG THE OCEAN FACING BEACHES.

EXPECTED TIDE LEVELS FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS.

MORGANS POINT...
              TUE  6:41 PM.       2.2 FEET.
              WED  6:49 PM.       3.0 FEET.
CLEAR LAKE ENTRANCE...
              WED  2:33 PM.       3.5 FEET.
EAGLE POINT...
              WED 12:22 PM.       3.8 FEET.
PORT BOLIVAR...
              TUE  7:33 PM.       1.8 FEET.
              WED  8:42 AM.       3.6 FEET.
              WED  9:28 PM.       2.3 FEET.
GALVESTON CHANNEL...
              TUE  7:19 PM.       1.9 FEET.
              WED  8:28 AM.       3.8 FEET.
              WED  9:14 PM.       2.9 FEET.
GALVESTON PLEASURE PIER...
              TUE  6:13 PM.       2.5 FEET.
              WED  7:22 AM.       4.0 FEET.
              WED  8:08 PM.       2.8 FEET.
JAMAICA BEACH...
              TUE  9:57 PM.       2.0 FEET.
              WED 11:06 AM.       4.0 FEET.
              WED 11:52 PM.       2.2 FEET.
SAN LUIS PASS...
              TUE  7:10 PM.       2.8 FEET.
              WED  8:19 AM.       4.5 FEET.
              WED  9:05 PM.       3.3 FEET.

NOTE:  TIDE LEVELS ARE REFERENCED FROM MEAN LOWER LOW WATER

...WINDS...

THIS EVENING EASTERLY WINDS CONTINUE AT 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS INLAND...20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS
ALONG THE COAST AND BARRIER ISLANDS.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM CDT.

$$

TXZ226-227-232215-
/O.CON.KHGX.HU.S.0001.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
FORT BEND-WHARTON-
506 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008

...NEW INFORMATION...

THIS HURRICANE INFORMATION STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED TO UPDATE
THE LATEST POSITION OF HURRICANE DOLLY.

...AREAS AFFECTED...

THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES OR MARINE AREAS:

FORT BEND...WHARTON.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...

NO ADDITIONAL HAZARDS ARE IN EFFECT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SHOULD THE STRONGER WINDS REACH INTO THE AREA RESIDENTS SHOULD
TAKE CARE OF UNFASTENED ITEMS...SUCH AS GARBAGE CANS AND DECK
FURNITURE BY MOVING THEM INDOORS OR SECURING THEM. ALTHOUGH
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE NOT FORECAST TO AFFECT OUR LOCAL
AREA COASTAL AND INLAND REGIONS DUE TO THE CURRENT FORECAST
TRACK OF DOLLY...BE AWARE THAT IF DOLLY TAKES A MORE NORTHERLY
TRACK OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN THERE WILL BE A HIGHER
PROBABILITY OF EXPERIENCING TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.

...WINDS...

EASTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT 15 TO 20 MPH THIS EVENING AND
THEN BECOME MORE SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY AT AROUND 20 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL START TO DECREASE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

...NEXT UPDATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AROUND 11 PM CDT.

$$




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